ā€˜Strong prospect’ Dutch engineer will make counter-bid in battle with Japanese consultant Nippon Koei to acquire UK engineer Hyder

Dutch engineering giant Arcadis is likely to make a counter-bid in its battle with Japanese consultant Nippon Koei to acquire UK engineer Hyder, an informed industry source has told ŠŌ°ÉµēĢØ.

Nippon Koei agreed a Ā£268m takeover deal with Hyder’s board on 8 August, trumping a Ā£256m deal Arcadis struck with the UK firm the prior week.

An informed source told ŠŌ°ÉµēĢØ this week that Arcadis was now likely to up its offer.

ā€œArcadis is known for these M&A approaches being long in the making and a counter-offer would seem a strong prospect,ā€ the source said.

Christopher Bamberry, analyst at Peel Hunt, agreed Arcadis was likely to counter-bid: ā€œThere are more opportunities for Arcadis in terms of cost and revenue synergies and they’ve got a stronger balance sheet than Nippon Koei.

ā€œNippon Koei’s offer was less than 5% more than Arcadis’ and the rule of thumb for counter-bids is to go 10% higher.ā€

Nippon Koei’s offer was dealt a blow last week after one of Japan’s biggest credit rating agencies, Rating and Investment Information (R&II), put its triple-B credit rating at risk of a potential downgrade if the deal went ahead, due to the ā€œheavy financial burdenā€ it would place on it.

Bamberry said R&II’s credit rating warning could dissuade Nippon Koei from getting drawn into a bidding war. ā€œWith their credit rating under threat you’d suspect that might be their best offer,ā€ he said.

However another analyst, who preferred not to be named, said Nippon Koei’s offer could win out, as it was nearly 12 times the firm’s profit, when measured as EBITDA [check]: ā€œIt looks like a generous price, you would have thought the Japanese would get it.ā€

Nippon Koei generated revenues of £421m last year, making it significantly smaller than £2bn-turnover Arcadis.

Nippon Koei has pledged to run £297m-turnover Hyder as a standalone division with no job cuts or office closures, whereas Arcadis has said its potential takeover of Hyder would result in annual cost savings of £15m, with some overhead and job cuts.